11796-11624 IS THE IMMEDIATE RANGE
WORLD MARKETS
US indices ended with modest gains, with the S & P 500
and Nasdaq hitting fresh record high.
The core personal consumption expenditures index — the
Fed’s preferred measure of inflation — remained unchanged in March, as against
expected a gain of 1.7%. Earlier, data showed US GDP growth stood at an
annualized rate of 3.2% in the first quarter of 2019, beating analyst
expectations.
US crude rose 20 cents to $63.50 a barrel while Brent fell
11 cents to $72.04. On Friday, both had fallen nearly 3% after Trump told
reporters that he had called OPEC and told the cartel to lower oil prices.
European markets ended with modest gains. Sentiment in the
bloc fell to 104.0 points in April, down from 105.6 in March, also marking its
10th consecutive month and its lowest level in more than two years.
The U.S. and China are set to resume trade talks today.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said in an interview on Sunday that
negotiations between the two economic powerhouses were in “the final laps,”.
AT HOME
Benchmark indices soared nearly a percent to end the week
on a positive note. Sensex added 336 points to settle at 39067 while Nifty
finished at 11754, up 112 points. BSE mid-cap and small-cap indices however
ended with cuts of 0.4% and 0.2% respectively. BSE Metal index and Bankex
soared 1.9% and 1.5% respectively, becoming top gainers among the sectoral indices
while Auto and Consumer Durable indices were the top losers, down 1.1% and 1%
respectively.
FIIs net sold stocks worth Rs 71 cr but net bought index
futures and stock futures worth Rs 304 cr and 1022 cr respectively. DIIs were
net buyers to the tune of Rs 133 cr.
Rupee appreciated 24 paise to end at 70.01/$.
For the week, Sensex lost 0.2% while Nifty ended flat.
Yes Bank reported highest ever quarterly loss of over Rs
1500 cr. Asset quality as well as slippages too were worst in the history of
the bank. Gross NPA ratio rose to 3.22% from 2.1% q-o-q and slippages surged
51% to Rs 3481 cr. Loan growth at 18.7% was the lowest in 3 years.
Hero Motocorpo reported weak numbers as expected. Margins
fell for the 4th consecutive quarter, falling 240 bps y-o-y to 13.5%.
OUTLOOK
China's official manufacturing PMI for April has come in
below expectation at 50.1 Vs 50.5 in March. Composite PMI is at 53.4 Vs 54.
Caixin/Markit manufacturing PMI too has come in below expectation at 50.2.
Today morning, Nikkei is shut, Hang Seng is down 0.2%
while Shanghai is up 0.3%. SGX Nifty is suggesting about 30 points higher start
when compared to Friday's close of Nifty futures.
On Friday, Nifty traded within the 11796-11624 range made
on Thursday and these continue to be immediate resistance-support levels to
eye.
Upon crossover of 11796, 11856, the top made last week,
would be the next target to eye.
Below 11624, 11550 would be the crucial support to eye.
Traders are advised to hold long positions with the
stop-loss of 11624.
Kotak Mahindra Bank and
TVS Motors will report their quarterly earnings today.