8120-8230 CONTINUES TO BE IMMEDIATE RANGE
WORLD MARKETS
US indices ended with cuts of upto 0.4% on Friday
following geopolitical tension in the South China Sea.
Media reports suggested that a Chinese Navy warship has
seized an underwater drone deployed by an American oceanographic vessel in
international waters in the South China Sea, triggering a formal diplomatic
protest from the United States and a demand for its return.
Following the news, U.S. Treasury yields edged lower, gold
prices climbed, and the yen strengthened against the dollar in a safe-haven
trade. US 10-year yield fell from about 2.62% to 2.56%. Dollar index eased to
102.80 from 103.10. Gold rose $8 to $1135 an ounce.
U.S. crude oil futures settled up $1.00 at $51.90 a barrel
after Goldman Sachs raised its price forecast for 2017 and producers showed
signs of keeping to the global deal to cut production levels. The weekly U.S.
oil rig count rose 12 from last week to 510, according to Baker Hughes.
Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker said the Fed will
need more than three rate hikes in 2017.St. Louis Fed President James Bullard
said that after the election, the economy has more upside risk, while it will
take a while for the new political landscape to alter the outlook.
In economic data, Housing starts fell a more-than-expected
18.7% in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.09 million units.
Building permits declined 4.7%.
European markets added 0.1%-0.7%. Basic resources ended
the trading day among the worst performing European sectors after Chinese iron
ore futures dropped more than 2% on Friday as steel prices lost ground in
afternoon trading, with steel mills holding off on buying the raw material in
the physical market after recent rapid gains. The German Ifo Institute raised
its economic forecast for 2018 growth in the country to 1.7%, from a previous
estimate of 1.6%.
For the week, Dow rose 0.4%, extending the winning streak
to sixth straight week. S & P 500 and Nasdaq however lost 0.1% each.
European markets added 0.8%-1.8%. In Asia, Nikkei added 2.1%, rising for the
sixth straight week but Shanghai and Hang Seng tumbled 3.4% and 3.2%
respectively.
AT HOME
Benchmark indices ended modestly lower after a rangebound
session, extending the losing streak to third straight day. Sensex lost 30
points to settle at 26490 while Nifty finished at 8139, down 14 points. BE
mid-cap and small-cap indices lost 0.04% and 0.25% respectively. BSE Metal and
Telecom indices tumbled 1.6% and 1.2% respectively, becoming top losers among
the sectoral indices while Consumer Durable and IT indices gained 0.6% each,
becoming top gainers.
FIIs net sold stocks, index futures and stock futures
worth Rs 90 cr, 504 cr and 149 cr respectively. DIIs were net buyers to the
tune of Rs 30 cr.
Rupee appreciated 7 paise to end at 67.76/$.
For the week, Sensex and Nifty lost 1% and 1.5%
respectively.
Oil marketing companies hiked petrol and diesel prices by
Rs 2.21 and 1.79 per litre on Friday.
OUTLOOK
Japan's November exports fell 0.4% y-o-y, compared to
expectation of a 2% decline, boosted by a weaker yen and recovery in overseas
demand. Imports fell 8.8%, also better than the forecast of a 12.6% decline.
The trade surplus stood at 153 billion yen ($1.3 billion), narrower than a
surplus of ¥227 billion expected.
Asian markets are trading with cuts of 0.3%-0.7% and SGX
Nifty is suggesting about 15 points lower start for our market.
After today's lower start, Nifty would be back in the
vicinity of 8120 bottom made last week, where it had found a floor in the form
of 20-DMA. If this level is taken out, 8057, the bottom made on 5th December,
which is also the immediate previous bottom on the daily chart, would be the
next downside target to eye.
8230, where Nifty was resisted twice last week, is the
immediate hurdle on the way up, upon which 8275, the top in the December so
far, would be the next resistance.
This
makes 8120-8230 immediate range, a breach of which, on either side, is required
for taking fresh directional view.
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