10770-10630 CONTINUES TO BE IMMEDIATE RANGE
WORLD MARKETS
After falling more than a percent in the first half, US indices
recouped most of the losses later to end flat to modestly lower. Dow ended flat
while S & P 500 and Nasdaq lost 0.2% each.
The lower start was on the back of trade and geopolitical
worries. Media reports suggested that the U.S. administration is considering
taking executive action to restrict some Chinese firms' ability to sell
telecoms equipment.
Iran Foreign Affairs Minister said the country will not
renegotiate the nuclear deal it struck with the U.S. in 2015.
News regarding Trump's legal troubles also contributed to
the pressure. In an interview, Rudy Giuliani, Trump's lawyer, said the
president repaid his personal lawyer Michael Cohen for a hush payment to porn
star Stormy Daniels.
Gold futures jumped 0.5% to settle at $1,312.70 per ounce.
Oil rose slightly with Brent up 0.23% to $73.79 a barrel
and WTI up 0.2% at $68.53 a barrel.
European markets fell
0.5%-0.9%. Euro zone inflation unexpectedly declined in April, raising
questions about the European Central Bank's plan to scale back its stimulus
program. The European Commission said in its spring economic forecast that
growth was set to remain strong this year and ease slightly into 2019, and that
the economy was more exposed to external risks like volatility in the markets.
AT HOME
Sensex and Nifty fell 0.2% and 0.4% respectively to extend
the losing streak to second straight day. Sensex lost 73 points to settle at
35103 while Nifty finished at 10680, down 38 points. BSE mid-cap and small-cap
indices underperformed yet again, losing 1.2% and 0.8% respectively. BSE Realty
index tumbled 1.8%, becoming top loser among the sectoral indices, followed by
1.6% lower IT and Capital Goods indices. Metal index and Bankex were the top
gainers, up 0.8% and 0.2% respectively.
FIIs net sold stocks worth Rs 148 cr but net bought index
futures and stock futures worth Rs 578 cr and 74 cr respectively. DIIs were net
sellers to the tune of Rs 579 cr.
Rupee appreciated 2 paise to end at 66.65/$.
Vedanta posted an 81% surge in quarterly profit at Rs 4802
cr., helped by higher volumes and favourable commodity prices. Revenue rose 23%
to Rs 27630 cr.
OUTLOOK
Today, Nikkei is shut while Hang Seng and Shanghai are
modestly lower. SGX Nifty is suggesting about 30 points lower start for our
market.
In yesterday's report we had reiterated the view that
10770, the two-third retracement level of the entire 11171-9951 fall, is the
important immediate hurdle, a crossover of which is required for a fresh
upmove. We had also said that 10650-10630 is the immediate support zone, with
the stop-loss of which, existing longs should be held on to.
Nifty, after touching a low of 10647, rebounded to end at
10680 and is set to open around 10650 today.
10650-10630 continues to be immediate support zone to eye,
a breach of which will generate a "Sell" on the hourly chart and
would pave the way for further correction. 10500 would be the next downside
target if that happens.
10770 continues to be hurdle on the way up.
Traders are advised to keep stop-loss of 10630 in longs.
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