Thursday, June 26, 2014

PRUDENT MORNING MANTRA - 26.06.2014

NIFTY EXTENDS CONSOLIDATION; GOVERNMENT DEFERS GAS PRICE HIKE

WORLD MARKETS

After starting lower on the back of weak GDP data and concerns over Iraq, US indices bounced back to end with gains between 0.3%-0.7%.

The final reading of the US first quarter GDP showed a contraction of 2.9%, a much steeper pace than expected 1.7% decline. Separately, May durable goods orders unexpectedly declined 1% on month while the services sector expanded at its fastest clip in more than four years in June.

In Iraq, militants yesterday seized control of the Balad airbase, one of the country's largest, as well as the Ajeel oil site, located east of Tikrit. The attack came as Iraqui Prime Minister said he supported the process of forming a new government by July 1st.

Meanwhile in Ukraine, Western powers warned Russia yesterday that they may impose new sanctions if Moscow does not take more action to defuse the conflict in east Ukraine

European markets lost between 0.7%-1.3%.

Nymex crude rose 0.4% to $106.5 while gold rose 0.1% to $1322.6 an ounce.

AT HOME

Benchmark indices ended marginally lower after trading in an extremely narrow range through the trading session. Sensex lost 55 points to settle at 25314 while Nifty finished at 7569, down 11 points. BSE mid-cap and small-cap indices however gained 0.5% and 0.4% respectively. BSE Realty and Consumer Durable indices gained the most among the sectoral indices, rising 0.9% each while Oil & Gas and Capital Goods indices lost 0.8% and 0.7% respectively.

FIIs net bought stocks and index futures worth Rs 695 cr and 178 cr respectively but net sold stock futures worth Rs 509 cr. DIIs were net sellers to the tune of Rs 434 cr.

Rupee ended at 60.12/$, the previous close being 60.13/$.

Finance Minister Arun Jaitley yesterday afternoon announced the extension of low excise duty for auto, consumer durables and capital goods sector for six months till December 31.

OUTLOOK

In a setback to gas producers like Reliance Industries, the government yesterday postponed revision in natural gas prices by three months pending a "comprehensive" review to make a controversial pricing formula more palatable. Reliance Industries GDR ended lower by 2% on London Stock Exchange yesterday. Oil minister also clarified that there is no plan to hike LPG and kerosene prices.

Today Morning, Asian markets are trading with modest gains but SGX Nifty is suggesting a marginally lower start for our market.

7540 continues to be immediate support on the hourly chart below which 7441, the low made on Monday would be the next support to eye.

On the way up, 7663 continues to be the immediate hurdle.


Broadly, Nifty continues to be in a consolidation mode and traders would do well to keep trading volumes low and wait for this consolidation to get over for taking a fresh directional view on Nifty.

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