Tuesday, June 30, 2020

NIFTY EXTENDS CONSOLIDATION WITHIN 10553-10194 RANGE


NIFTY EXTENDS CONSOLIDATION WITHIN 10553-10194 RANGE

WORLD MARKETS

US indices soared 1.2%-2.3%, helped by big surge in Boeing shares and strong home sales data.

Boeing soared 14.4% after certification flights for the Boeing 737 Max began. Pending home sales for May jumped 44.3%.

Meanwhile, New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy announced the state will delay a resumption of indoor dining that was planned for Thursday.

European markets rose 0.7%-1.7%. Eurozone economic sentiment index for June rose to 75.7 from May’s 67.5. Employment expectations in both goods and services also increased.

Earlier, data from China showed profits at industrial firms rose for the first time in six months in May, suggesting the country’s economic recovery is gaining traction.

Brent crude rose 74 cents, or 1.8%, to $41.76 a barrel. U.S. crude gained $1.21, or 3.1%, to $39.70 a barrel.

AT HOME

After falling nearly a percent and half in the morning, Sensex and Nifty recouped more than half of the losses in noon trade to end lower by 0.6% and 0.7% respectively. Sensex settled at 34961, down 209 points while Nifty lost 70 points to finish at 10312. BSE mid-cap and small-cap indices slipped 2% and 1.2% respectively. Except 1.4% and 0.8% higher Telecom and FMCG indices respectively, all the BSE sectoral indices ended in red with Realty and Metal indices leading the losses, down 2.9% and 2.5% respectively.

FIIs net sold stocks, index futures and stock futures worth Rs 1937 cr, 1242 cr and 790 cr respectively. DIIs were net buyers to the tune of Rs 1036 cr.

Rupee appreciated 6 paise to end at 75.58/$.

Tata Steel reported better-than-expected numbers with EBITDA and Margin beating expectations and lower-than-expected loss. Management commentary was also optimistic. Revenue fell 20.4% y-o-y to Rs 33770 cr, EBITDA fell 38% to Rs 4647 cr, margin shrank 390 bps to 13.8% and net loss stood at Rs 1096 cr.

Government announced new unlock guidelines according to which, all activities, except  the following, shall be permitted outside containment zone. Activities in negative list include Metro Rail, Cinema halls, gymnasiums, swimming polls, entertainment parks, theaters, bars, auditoriums, assembly halls and similar places.

OUTLOOK

China’s official manufacturing PMI for June has came in at 50.9, up from 50.6 in May and beating the forecast of 50.4 read.

Today morning, Asian markets are trading with gains of 0.3%-1.8% with Nikkei on the top and SGX Nifty is suggesting around 70 points higher start for our market.

In yesterday's report we had reiterated the view that 10194, the low made last week, continued to be important immediate support, while 10553, the top made last week, continued to be important resistance.

Nifty, after touching a low of 10223, rebounded to end at 10312 and is set to open near 10400 today.

10553, the top made last week, which also coincided with the 61.8% retracement level of the entire 12430-7511 fall, continues to be important resistance, a crossover of which is required for a fresh upmove.

10194, the low made last week, continues to be important immediate support, below which, 10050 and 9880, the 50% and 67% retracement levels of the recent 9544-10553 upmove, would be next supports to eye.

PM Modi will address the nation at 4 pm today.


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