Thursday, July 24, 2014

PRUDENT MORNING MANTRA - 24.07.2014

BANG ON TARGET

WORLD MARKETS

While Dow ended modestly lower, S & P 500 and Nasdaq gained 0.2% and 0.4% respectively with the S&P 500 finishing at a record for the 26th time this year, as investors weighed corporate earnings and kept an eye on ongoing turmoil in Gaza and Ukraine.

Apple and Microsoft shares rose after reporting better-than-expected revenue. Boeing hiked its full-year forecast. PepsiCo reported revenue that topped expectations.

Applications for mortgage refinancing jumed 4%, the Mortgage Bankers Association said. However, the report showed that home purchase loan applications were down 15% from a year ago.

Yesterday, pro-Russian rebels shot down two Ukrainian fighter jets, not far from where the Malaysia Airlines jet was brought down last week.

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry flew to Tel Aviv yesterday to press for a truce in the fighting between Israel and militants in Gaza that has killed more than 600 people. U.S. and European airlines have temporarily halted flights to Tel Aviv, following a rocket attack near the airport.

European markets, except a 0.2% cut in Italy, ended marginally higher. the Bank of England released the minutes from its latest monetary policy meeting. These showed that members voted unanimously to keep interest rates at record lows.

Nymex crude rose 73 cents to $103.12.
                                                             
AT HOME

Benchmark indices ended higher by four tenth of a percent after a rangebound but choppy trading session, marking an all-time closing high. Sensex gained 121 points to settle at 26147 while Nifty finished at 7796, up 28 points. Broader market however underperformed yet again with the mid-cap index ending flat and the small-cap index losing 0.6%. BSE IT and Teck indices climbed 2.2% and 1.7% respectively, becoming top gainers among the sectoral indices while Metal and Healthcare indices lost 0.4% and 0.2% respectively.

FIIs net bought stocks, index futures and stock futures worth Rs 652 cr, 52 cr and 625 cr respectively. DIIs were net sellers to the tune of Rs 292 cr.

Rupee appreciated 15 paise to close at 90.09/$.

Cairn India reported a massive 65% y-o-y and 64% q-o-q fall in consolidated net profit at Rs 1093 cr due to change in method of depreciation and weak operational performance. Total income from operations grew 10.3% y-o-y (down 11.2% q-o-q) to Rs 4,483 crore which was slightly better than expectations of Rs 4,600 crore on account of higher volumes and realisations. Operating margin dropped 490 bps sequentially  to 68.1%.

OUTLOOK

A preliminary reading of China's HSBC July manufacturing PMI has come in at 52.0, up from 50.7 in June and marking an 18-month high.

Asian markets are trading with modest gains but SGX Nifty is suggesting about 20 points lower opening for our market.

Nifty, after touching a high of 7809, closed at 7796 yesterday, achieving the 7808 target we have been working ever since 7600 hurdle was taken out.

Now a close above 7808 required for the further upmove. Therefore we had advised booking some profit in trading longs around 7808 and trailing stop loss in the remaining position. That continues to be the view.

Immediate support on the hourly chart has moved up to 7670 which should now serve as the stop loss for trading longs.


Wipro, ACC and Ambuja Cement will report their quarterly earnings today.

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